4 Comments

Glad to hear that about Meloni. Also, are you going to comment on the Israeli election? With Iran now taking action to aid Russia, will Netanyahu take some action to put Israel in the pro-Ukraine camp?

Expand full comment

I will share some tentative thoughts in the upcoming cables.

Expand full comment

Sharp points and well crafted balance in their structural placements. Some, not even a lot, escalation could bring some fast changes, but it is not as crucial as it was pre-Kherson victory. Putin appears to be licking his wounds. Psychological warfare is the main, effective tool he has left, short of "all out" war. So much depends on what is happening within that dark cave of power in Russia. Who, even the best informed, can even speculate? The elections have shored up the Biden "unity" policies. They won't last forever, but at least for a while. Will the wounds look worse or maybe a bit better after all the licking? Time, a little time, will tell. What are the "moderates" saying in Moscow? They could

hold the key. Remove Putin, if they can, or wait a while? Dugin strikes me as being increasingly marginal. It's an exercise in shadow boxing. Thanks for your excellent analysis.

Expand full comment

Thank you for kind words! he is indeed licking his wounds but further advances will be harder, and that may persuade Putin to double down and wait it out - we need to convince him not to do that with force.

Expand full comment