The Bismarck Cables

The Bismarck Cables

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UK and France agree on a historic upgrade to their military alliance and announce coordination of their nuclear deterrent capabilities.
In previous posts, we have analyzed shifts in Europe's strategic defense posture: a significant change is now unfolding openly, marking a pivotal moment…
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The Bismarck Cables
Trump walks back previous pause on Ukraine aid calls, calls out Putin for his "bullshit" and how focusing primarily on Ukraine's air defense…
It turns out (as was predicted in our last discussion of the matter), that not much senior White House clearance was given for the pause in the supply…
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The Bismarck Cables
Russia is becoming more aggressive in the South Caucasus as its progress on the battlefield in Ukraine continues and its willingness to defy…
Russia is becoming more aggressive in the South Caucasus as its progress on the battlefield in Ukraine continues and its willingness to defy Trump…
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The Bismarck Cables
The U.S. Decision To Suspend Weapons Promised And Scheduled For Ukraine: A Poorly Reasoned Act Of Strategic Self-Harm.
Ukrainians, who are fighting against Russia’s onslaught and daily barrage of missiles, ballistic missiles, and drone attacks, didn’t even receive prior…
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1

June 2025

Claiming that Iran retaining enrichment capabilities is irrelevant is intellectually dishonest and unhelpful for accurate strategy.
A week after the end of hostilities—at least in the short term—with Iran, and following the U.S.
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1
Trump prevailed at The Hague, but many of NATO’s and America's broader interests were overlooked at the crucial summit.
NATO’s Hague Summit was a personal triumph for President Trump.
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Israel - Iran ceasefire holds, new U.S. deal with Tehran, and the unclear fate of Iran's 400kgs of Highly Enriched Uranium.
The ceasefire announced by Trump on Monday appears to be holding relatively well so far.
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1
Iran's Response and how Israeli vs U.S. objectives may start to diverge again.
Iran responded to U.S.
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U.S. strikes nuclear sites and how Iran's response will determine the trajectory of this conflict.
It happened.
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Trump Delays Strikes To Maximize Strategic Optionality
Two days after implicitly threatening Iran and its leadership by publicly stating that Ayatollah Khomeini’s whereabouts are known to the United States…
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1
What we are not observing in the Iran-Israel conflict so far - Part II.
In a matter of just two days, Trump has suddenly changed his tune on Iran.
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The Bismarck Cables
2
What we are not observing in the Iran-Israel conflict so far - Part I.
In previous posts, we outlined the outcomes of the ongoing Iranian and Israeli strikes.
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The Bismarck Cables
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