Sitemap - 2024 - The Bismarck Cables

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Russia is on its backfoot after Assad fiasco: time to maximize gains & and move against other Kremlin-friendly dictators.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine War Updates, Syria one week in: HTS wins, and Russia's Syria presence in limbo.

Rebuttal Cable - Elon Musk Is Dead Wrong on F-35s: listening to him would only please Russia and China.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Syria implications: Israeli airstrikes, calculus, and unintended risks.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, Assad Regime falls.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Dynamics & Interests Behind The Rebel Momentum In Syria.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Ukraine war updates and the incentives behind Israel vs Hezbollah ceasefire.

Weekly Overview Cables - ATACMS repercussions, and Putin's retaliation and threat of further escalation.

Strategic Implications of a Scholz - Putin phone call.

Weekly Overview Cables - Biden lifts targeting restrictions, Putin's evolving calculus, and Ukraine's high-risk nuclear signaling.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Evaluating Mike Pompeo's Peace Plan For Ukraine

Weekly Overview Cables - Zelensky and Putin frame their initial Trump messaging, and Trump's future plans for Ukraine.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Impact of North Korean deployment on China & opportunities for leverage: Part I.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, and a major intervention is needed as Russia nears an endgame in Ukraine.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Israeli airstrikes and Iran's strategic dilemmas going forward - Part II.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Israeli airstrikes and Iran finds itself in an unpalatable situation.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, South Korea threatens to arm Ukraine.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - contrasting incentives influence probability of a ceasefire in Gaza.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, and post-Sinwar moment: Washington must guide Israel to strategic victory in Gaza.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Israel pushing for unforced strategic errors and what the U.S. policy on Lebanon should be.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, and Russia - Iran relations amidst Tehran's escalating conflict with Israel.

Cables From Diplomatic Frontlines - Biden's comments on Israeli response - and Israel's actual options for retaliation.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, and the Western establishment offers the worst strategic advice to the leadership of Ukraine.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Fluid dynamics following Hezbollah assassination & Iran's ballistic response: implications and next moves.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, and Russia's retaliation.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Israel's path remains unobstructed, and the Biden administration is close to a major foreign policy win with Turkey.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, Israel vs Hezbollah enters a new stage.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Belarus accumulates troops near Ukraine - playing risky games with Putin and the West.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, Washington's nonsensical excuses on ATACMS, the impact of F-16s and race to counter ballistic missiles.

Programming note to subscribers.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Ukraine's complicity in the Nord Stream pipeline bombing and Russia deepens military cooperation with Iran.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, Week 2 of the Kursk Invasion.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Ukraine vs Russia proxy wars expand in the background.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine's surprise incursion into Kursk: objectives, tactical & strategic gains and major risks.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Iranian still to respond and evaluating Hezbollah's current capabilities.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, US-Russia prisoner exchange and forcing Maduro into resignation.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Israel vs Hezbollah and Iran escalation: Netanyahu's objectives and calculations.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates and evaluating Mike Pompeo's ''A Trump Peace Plan For Ukraine".

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Iran's new President and Israel's medium-term strategy going forward.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war, Trump VP pick, and how to dissuade a dangerous return of isolationism.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - alleged Iranian assassination plot on Trump: what it reveals and what should follow.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, NATO's Washington Summit.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Iran's new President and ''axis of resistance".

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, new President in Iran.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war, Trump-Biden debate: signaling and implications.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - possible Israel - Hezbollah War: Calculations and Costs.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, targeting restrictions on Russian military and Russia-North Korea security pact: risks and opportunities.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Ukraine Peace Summit and signaling behind Putin's uncredible peace offer.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, new G7 funding and the US-Ukraine security agreement.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine support, fighter jets, and Putin's psyops.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Biden's Gaza peace deal proposal, debunking common myths, and perverse incentives at play.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, Washington removes targeting restrictions and Biden's dripititis.

Cables From Diplomatic Frontlines - ICC arrest warrants against Israel and Hamas: political and strategic implications.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, destruction of Armavir Radar and Iran's succession issues.

Weekly Overview Cables - US Restrictions on Ukraine's deep strikes must go.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontline - Putin's reshuffle: incentives at play and implications for the war and his regime.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, and why targeting Russian refineries is a great strategy for Kyiv - one that should not be discouraged by Washington.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Turkey suspends all trade with Israel: background, incentives, and long-term prospects.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, Putin's regime dynamics.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Hamas- Israel ceasefire, Rafah invasion, and Saudi "Plan B" security pact with the US.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war, Israel vs Iran: future balance of escalation dominance.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Strategic implications of Iran - Israel shooting match.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine War Updates, Israel strikes back.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Iran strikes Israel : lead-up, attack and early inferences to draw.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - NATO's $100bn watershed moment: implications of proposed launch of a long-term support fund for Ukraine.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine War and terribly unwise messaging from Washington.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Biden begins to apply leverage on Israel - more muscular yet nuanced action is needed.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine War, strategic challenges and implications to Putin arising from the Moscow terror attack.

Cables From Diplomatic Frontlines - ISIS attack in Moscow: facts, propaganda and incentives behind this attack.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine War Updates, Taurus missiles, and Kyiv's unconventional warfare campaigns.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - NATO leadership raises alarm and Poland becomes first country to legitimate Macron’s NATO ground troops remarks.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war, nuclear use leaks: Russia preparing for Chinese invasion.

Special Post: France raising the possibility of Western troops in Ukraine is a turning point in this conflict. Part II: Major second-order implications and risks.

Special Post: France raising the possibility of Western troops in Ukraine is a turning point in this conflict. Part I: Macron's goals.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Ukraine hunts Russian mercenaries in Sudan: tactical and strategic gains sought by Kyiv.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine War Updates, new Russia sanctions and Netanyahu's plan for indefinite occupation.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - US strikes against Iran: retaliation to date, targets missed and opportunities foregone, and the delusion of leveraging Pakistan against Iran.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, death of Alexei Navalny.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Tucker-Putin interview Part II: highlights and subtle moves.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates: new commander-in-chief, and unpacking Tucker-Putin interview, Part I.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - As Blinken engages in shuttle diplomacy we revisit the essential preconditions for a durable peace.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, EU blackmails Hungary into submission, Zelensky to fire his Chief Commander.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Responding to the deadly Iran-backed militia attacks: Biden's options for retaliation.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, responding to ‘‘How Ukraine Can Win Through Defense”.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Netanyahu moves to openly oppose a two-state solution: implications & underlying political incentives at play.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, and how can Iran and Houthis hit back.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - Part II on Iran/Houthi threat: why it might be in US interests to escalate and deal with this menace now vs opting to leave it for later.

Weekly Overview Cables - Ukraine war updates, and bad reasons to complain about long overdue missile strikes targeting the Houthis.

Cables From The Diplomatic Frontlines - a dangerous mix of incentives pushing for a wider conflict in the middle east.